표 11 VECM 추정결과
| D(JDR) | D(CPI) | D(INT) | D(CSI) | D(IAIP) | D(COM) |
CointEq1 | −0.00784 | 3.35E-05 | −5.36E-05 | 0.000252 | −0.000803 | 0.000204 |
[−0.48650] | [3.07671] | [−0.33799] | [1.89628] | [−9.00413] | [0.37333] |
D(YY(-1)) | −0.43731 | 2.53E-05 | −0.000512 | −0.000703 | −0.000519 | −0.006582 |
[−2.41497] | [0.20628] | [−0.28739] | [−0.46962] | [−0.51769] | [−1.06951] |
D(A2(-1)) | 207.5001 | 0.270634 | 3.056975 | 0.413914 | −5.195076 | −18.45857 |
[0.71653] | [1.38117] | [1.07251] | [0.17300] | [−3.24072] | [−1.87534] |
D(A1(-1)) | −8.12908 | 0.001401 | 0.336871 | −0.335074 | 0.128332 | 0.813864 |
[−0.44475] | [0.11325] | [1.87254] | [−2.21883] | [1.26836] | [1.31006] |
D(A5(-1)) | −31.136 | 0.025568 | 0.012057 | 0.301325 | −0.344939 | 0.78583 |
[−1.37944] | [1.67410] | [0.05427] | [1.61580] | [−2.76070] | [1.02433] |
D(A6(-1)) | −1.51105 | −0.02612 | −0.01297 | −0.266839 | 0.299956 | 0.565705 |
[−0.06530] | [−1.66787] | [−0.05695] | [−1.39569] | [2.34164] | [0.71926] |
D(A3(-1)) | 1.787839 | 0.001362 | 0.016734 | −0.016409 | −0.018685 | −0.769511 |
[0.44332] | [0.49915] | [0.42157] | [−0.49247] | [−0.83696] | [−5.61398] |
C | 1.623442 | 0.000794 | 0.001294 | −0.001006 | 0.011176 | 0.055145 |
[1.57052] | [1.13509] | [0.12716] | [−0.11781] | [1.95310] | [1.56957] |